Sources & caveats
Statistics are a dated snapshot through Week 8, compiled October 25, 2026, and updated October 31 for the betting line, weather and the SEC availability report. The Friday update (Oct. 30) to that report: Oklahoma now lists ten players out, with Elijah Thomas and Fred Hinton both downgraded to out on Friday, Peyton Bowen upgraded from questionable to probable, Eli Bowen downgraded from questionable to doubtful, Jake Maikkula still questionable, and Xavier Robinson off the report and available; South Carolina's report is unchanged on Friday, with Quay'sheed Scott, Jawarn Howell and Josiah Thompson among seven players out (full lists in the Possession pressure section). Neither team entered the Week 9 AP Top 25 released October 25 — South Carolina received 8 votes, Oklahoma none in the AP others list — so both are shown as unranked, and standings.json likewise carries both at ap: null, coaches: null. Kickoff weather is the Open-Meteo forecast for Norman at 3:15 PM CT on Oct. 31, updated Oct. 31 to overcast, 64°F and wind 4 mph. Expert and model consensus, cited here only: FPI gives Oklahoma 64.0% (Oct. 26), ticking to 63.8% in On3's Oct. 30 reading (South Carolina 36.2%), SP+ has Oklahoma by 1.8 (54% win probability; On3's reading of the model projects Oklahoma 25, South Carolina 23, with the Gamecocks at 46%), and The Sports Wire's comparison (updated Oct. 30) still has all 10 of its models favoring Oklahoma, its own call Oklahoma by 4.5; SEC Scouts, SportsJaw (Oklahoma 24–20) and Nolan Analytics (Oklahoma 26–20) all pick Oklahoma straight up, joined on game day by Athlon's Steven Lassan (Oklahoma 24–20) and Kyle Wood (Oklahoma 23–20), The Oklahoman (Oklahoma 22–19) and Sooners Wire (Oklahoma 24–20, odds courtesy of BetMGM as of Saturday, Oct. 31). The market held on game day: BetMGM, the Action Network odds table and Pick Dawgz all show Oklahoma −3.5 with the total 44.5 on Oct. 31 — the gamebar's −3.5 and 44.5 are unchanged — though College Football News' multi-book consensus reads Oklahoma −2.5. The against-the-spread lean to South Carolina has hardened (SI took the Gamecocks +5.5; On3's Andy Staples took South Carolina +5.5; Saturday Down South's Friday Forecast staff went four-for-four for South Carolina +4.5, two of them picking the outright win). Straight-up picks still lean Oklahoma — Sooners Wire's staff (Oct. 30) went four-for-four for the Sooners and SI's Oklahoma staff went 4–1 — but dissent has grown further since Oct. 30: On3's national roundup (Oct. 30) adds ESPN's Aaron Murray, Blake Ruffino and Joe DeLeone, and Southeastern 16's Jay Greeson picking South Carolina outright, with Ari Wasserman leaning that way and ESPN's Greg McElroy taking Oklahoma 23–21 with a South Carolina cover; College Football News picks South Carolina 23–21, College Sports Wire picks South Carolina 21–20 with South Carolina +3.5 as its best bet, and the Greenville News' game-day pick (Tia Reid) is South Carolina 24–21 — on top of the earlier dissent from SEC Country (South Carolina 24–23), Saturday Down South's Week 9 upset column, FanDuel's numberFire model (Gamecocks 53.7% win probability, up from 52.4%) and Bleacher Nation's model on the South Carolina moneyline.